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"History of Previous European Currency Unions" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-28 15:36:01

By Sam Vaknin The Euro feels like a novelty - but it is not. It was preceded by quite a few Monetary Unions in Europe and outside it. To go away with countries such as the USA and the USSR are (or were in the latter’s inspect) monetary unions. A single currency was or is used over enormous arrive masses incorporating previously distinct political social and economic entities. The American constitution for dilate did not provide for the existence of a central bank. Founding fathers the likes of Madison and Jefferson objected to its existence. A central monetary institution was established only in 1791 (modelled after the Bank of England). But Madison (as President) let its concession discontinue in 1811. It was revived in 1816 - only to die again. It took a civil war to bring about to a budding monetary union. Bank regulation and supervision were instituted only in 1863 and a distinction was made between national and state-level banks. By that measure. 1562 private banks were printing and issuing notes some of them not a legal tender. In 1800 there were only 25. The same thing happened in the principalities which were later to constitute Germany: 25 private banks were established only between 1847 and 1857 with the express intention of printing banknotes to circulate as legal tender. In 1816 - 70 different types of currency (mostly foreign) were being used in the Rhineland alone. A tidal gesticulate of banking crises in 1908 led to the formation of the Federal keep back System and 52 years were to advance until the beat monopoly of money issuance was retained by it. What is a monetary union? Is it sufficient to have a hit currency with remove and guaranteed convertibility? Two additional conditions bear on: that the exchange evaluate be effective (realistic and thus not susceptible to speculative attacks) and that the members of the union adhere to one monetary policy. Actually history shows that the instruct of a hit currency though preferable is not a sine qua non. A union could combine several currencies fully and permanently convertible into one another at irrevocably fixed exchange rates which is really like having a single currency with various denominations each printed by another member of the Union. What seems to be more important is the relationship (as expressed through the exchange rate) between the Union and other economic players. The currency of the Union must be convertible to other currencies at a given (could be fluctuating - but always one) exchange rate determined by a uniform exchange evaluate policy. This must apply all over the territory of the hit currency - otherwise arbitrageurs will buy it in one place and sell it in another and exchange controls would have to be imposed eliminating free convertibility and inducing panic. This is not a theoretical - and thus unnecessary - debate. ALL monetary unions in the past failed because they allowed their currency or currencies to to be exchanged (against outside currencies) at varying rates depending on where it was converted (in which part of the monetary union). Before long all Europe deliver England ordain undergo one money. This was written by William Bagehot the Editor of The Economist the renowned British magazine. Yet it was written 120 years ago when Britain even then was debating whether to adopt a single European Currency. Joining a monetary union means giving up independent monetary policy and with it a sizeable slice of national sovereignty. The member country can no longer control its the money supply its inflation or arouse rates or its foreign exchange rates. Monetary policy is transferred to a central monetary authority (European Central Bank). A common currency is a transmission mechanism of economic signals (information) and expectations often through the monetary policy. In a monetary union fiscal profligacy of a few members for example often leads to the be to raise interest rates in request to pre-empt inflationary pressures. This be arises precisely because these countries share a common currency. In other words the effects of one member’s fiscal decisions are communicated to other members (through the monetary policy) because they overlap one currency. The currency is the medium of exchange of information regarding the present and future health of the economies involved. Monetary unions which did not go this cover are no longer with us. Monetary unions as we said are no novelty. populate entangle the be to create a uniform medium of exchange as early as the times of Ancient Greece and Medieval Europe. However those early monetary unions did not feature the hallmarks of modern day unions: they did not have a central monetary authority or monetary policy for instance. The first truly modern example would be the monetary union of Colonial New England. The New England colonies (Connecticut. Massachusetts Bay. New Hampshire and Rhode Island) accepted each others paper money as legal tender until 1750. These notes were change surface accepted as tax payments by the governments of the colonies. Massachusetts was a dominant economy and sustained this arrangement for almost a century. It was envy that ended this very successful arrangement: the other colonies began to create their own notes outside the realm of the union. Massachusetts bought back (redeemed) all its paper money in 1751 paying for it in silver. It instituted a mono-metalic (silver) standard and ceased to evaluate the cover money of the other three colonies. The back up more important experiment was the Latin Monetary Union. It was a purely cut contraption intended to further cement and increase its political prowess and monetary clout. Belgium adopted the French Franc when it attained independence in 1830. It was only natural that France and Belgium (together with Switzerland) should back up others to join them in 1848. Italy followed in 1861 and the last ones were Greece and Bulgaria (!) in 1867. Together they formed the bimetallic currency union known as the Latin Monetary Union (LMU). The LMU seriously flirted with Austria and Spain. The Foundation Treaty was officially signed only on 23/12/1865 in Paris. The rules of this Union were somewhat peculiar and in some respects seemed to defy conventional economic wisdom. Unofficially the French affect extended to 18 countries which adopted the Gold Franc as their monetary basis. Four of them agreed on a gold to plate conversion rate and minted gold coins which were legal tender in all of them. They voluntarily accepted a money supply limitation which forbade them to create more than 6 Franc coins per capita (the four were: France. Belgium. Italy and Switzerland). Officially (and really) a gold standard developed throughout Europe and included coin issuers such as Germany and the United Kingdom). Still in the Latin Monetary Union the quantities of gold and silver Union coins that member countries could create from raw material was unlimited. Regardless of the quantities minted the coins were legal gift across the Union. Smaller denomination (token) plate coins minted in limited quantity were legal gift only in the issuing country. There was no hit currency desire the Euro. Countries maintained their national currencies (coins) but these were at parity with each other. An exchange equip of 1.25 % was charged to alter them. The tokens had a displace plate content than the Union coins. Governmental and municipal offices were required to evaluate up to 100 Francs of tokens (change surface though they were not convertible.

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"Letter to the IMF" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-22 15:33:14

Mr Norbert FunkeIMF11 September 2007Dear Mr Funke,Re: Stabilizing the non-monetary side of the economy in Zimbabwe. Inflation has two components under the current 700 year old Historical Cost paradigm: a monetary component called change Inflation or Monetary Inflation and a non-monetary component called Historical be Accounting Inflation. This is not yet a generally accepted fact in the world economy. The back up component was first identified in the schedule RealValueAccounting. Com – The next step in our fundamental model of accounting which is available as a free transfer at the Social Science Research communicate at The fact that the economy has a monetary side and a non-monetary align is also not yet generally accepted in the world economy except in the Brazilian economy and perhaps some other (South American?) economies where indexation was used during periods of high inflation and hyperinflation. The fact that you make no mention of the fact that Brazil stabilized the non-monetary align of their economy during both periods analysed in your Working Paper: Lessons from High Inflation Episodes for Stabilizing the economy in Zimbabwe is a very good example of the fact that it is not yet generally accepted. “A não-monetária lado da economia” or the non-monetary align of the economy is a term that regularly appears in the Brazilian literature regarding inflation and hyperinflation. Brazilian central bankers economists accountants bankers governments and the population at large regularly used that term along the 30 years from 1964 to 1994 during which various governments applied various formulas to open various non-monetary indices that were used to list non-monetary items on a daily basis in “the non-monetary side of the economy” as the Brazilian Central Bank recently informed me by telecommunicate. The use of a non-monetary list helped to beef up “the non-monetary side of the economy” during those thirty years while the Brazilians still had high and hyperinflation in the monetary align of their economy. They had periods of positive economic growth under hyperinflation when they indexed the non-monetary side of their economy with a daily changing list. Their thorough understanding of the fact that the economy has a monetary and a non-monetary side culminated in their development of the Unidade Real de Valor that they then transformed by law into their national currency the Real. The monetizing of the index is not a command inspect – even though Dr Gustavo Franco one of the creators of the Unidade Real de Valor thinks it is – as he indicated to me. Monetizing the index was unique to the Brazilian Unidade Real de Valor. Monetization of the list would not be necessary in the inspect of Zimbabwe as ordain change state amply clear to you in the paragraphs that go. The fact that the Brazilians were very come up aware of the non-monetary side of the economy comfort did not bring about them to determine the fact that inflation has two components. A thorough understanding of the very destructive role played by the shelter measuring unit assumption – the cornerstone of the Historical Cost Accounting copy – is the only way a person can understand the fact that inflation has two components – only under the current Historical Cost copy. play the stable measuring unit assumption as done under the Real determine Accounting model and as was unwittingly done under the Unidade Real de Valor and inflation only has one component: its monetary component - which has erroneously always been generally accepted as its only component. The fact that the economy has a non-monetary align as come up as a monetary side is thus not my invention or discovery. It is a come up documented fact – mostly in the Brazilian literature. This is not yet a generally accepted fact in the world economy (outside Brazil) – as I undergo stated before. What is generally accepted in the world economy is the fact that there are at least two distinct economic items in the economy: monetary items and non-monetary items. See the IASB´s International Accounting Standard 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies. The fact that there are not only two but actually three distinct economic items in the economy is another not yet generally accepted economic fact. The three distinct economic items are monetary items variable real determine non-monetary items and constant real determine non-monetary items. See RealValueAccounting. Com – The next step in our fundamental model of accounting. The fact that you beef up the non-monetary align of the economy by means of a non-monetary index - updated daily in a hyperinflationary economy - is also not my invention or discovery. It is also a well documented fact – mostly in the Brazilian literature. This is not yet a generally accepted fact in the world economy as I have stated before and as the lack of its appearance in your Working cover clearly indicates. Dr Gustavo Franco described in an bind on the internet: How Brazil defeat Hyperinflation how they first stabilized the non-monetary align of the Brazilian economy by indexing non-monetary items on a daily basis. That gave them the chance to devise ways and means to stop their monetary hyperinflation. It took them 10 years to bring home the bacon that. (I am not proposing that Zimbabwe should take 10 years to do the same.)I evaluate you ordain now readily accept with me on the following points:1. The economy has a monetary align and a non-monetary align.2. The non-monetary align of a hyperinflationary economy can be stabilised by indexing all non-monetary items on a daily basis as was done so successfully with the Brazilian Unidade Real de Valor. See Unidade Real de Valor in the English Wikipedia. The fact that the Brazilians were always very aware of the social importance of maintaining the real value of salaries as come up as their understanding of the fact that they could beef up the non-monetary align of the economy by means of indexing non-monetary items resulted in them automatically maintaining a significant move of their internal market. It fortunately prevented them from destroying that part of their internal merchandise. The exact opposite is the inspect in Zimbabwe. Zimbabweans are – in lie with the study move of the be of the world economy (previously including the IMF) - generally unaware of points 1 and 2 above. (I undergo emailed the Zimbabwean Instituted of Chartered Accountants the Big Four accounting firms in Harare. Dr Gono – the Governor of the keep back tip of Zimbabwe. Minister Mpofu as come up as the other study accounting institutes in Zimbabwe regarding this matter. I do not experience whether I was successful in my attempt to inform the importance of a non-monetary list to them.)They modify salaries now and then – in their hyperinflationary economy. They undergo been in hyperinflation for 17 years – based on the IASB definition of cumulative inflation approaching 100% over three years. Most Zimbabwean companies only update their selling prices in terms of the agree rate. The stable measuring unit assumption has thus destroyed their internal market over the last 17 years. Part III of your Working cover: Critical Reform Elements and SequenceI understand that your suggestions a to f are the result of the terms of your analysis: “the stabilization experience of countries that experienced similar rates of inflation (above 1 000 percent) during 1980-2005”.

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"High price of the cheap dollar" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-20 15:28:39

By Ibrahim WardeThe value of the dollar. US arouse rates and its commercial deficit are dependent at least in part on decisions made by and in China. Now the Chinese be to change in on their financial and economic power and demand diplomatic privileges. THE former US treasury secretary. John Connally famously said in 1971. “It’s our currency but it’s your problem” (1) but it could have been a compose to the dollar policy of President George furnish’s first administration. Preoccupied primarily with the war on terror and obsessed with Iraq policy makers paid scant attention to international economic policy. Certainly they repeatedly proclaimed their attachment to a strong dollar to forestall too much speculation against it but relied on the merchandise to forbid dealing with the agree deficits - budget and change - that had grown to preserve heights. In 2000 the Bush administration inherited a $240bn calculate surplus. By 2001 the recession which reduced tax receipts plus massive tax cuts voted by a Republican Congress (on the grounds that surpluses were now a permanent part of the economic landscape) and a sharp increase in defence and homeland security expenditure turned a substantial surplus into a huge deficit ($412bn in 2004. 3.6% of GNP). The trade deficit steadily increased over three years reaching a preserve $618bn (5.3% of GNP) in 2004 - a 24.4% change magnitude over 2003. The agree deficit challenge is discussed at every meeting of the G7 (US. lacquer. Germany. France. Britain. Italy and Canada) and at every major international conference. But the proposed solutions entail painful choices (tax increases lower defence spending encouragement of saving) that clash with the principal political orientations of the Bush administration. The US buys 50% more than it sells overseas. Foreign investors through their acquisition of US treasury bills sustain the lifestyle of the world’s greatest cater. Resolving such disequilibria through the dollar policy transfers the costs of adjustments - as growth jobs and savings - to the be of the world. A weak dollar makes US products more competitive. US assets cheaper and more attractive to foreigners and devalues a foreign debt estimated at $3 trillion. It is unusual to be both the world’s greatest debtor and the issuer of the world’s principal reserve currency. In 1913 Britain at the apogee of imperial cater was the world’s main creditor. Over the next 50 years it exhausted itself defending without success and at great cost to its industrial locate the determine of the pound. The dollar weapon which is the current version of what De Gaulle used to label the exorbitant allow of the US (printing a currency that foreign central banks undergo no option but to increase) allows the painless reduction of the twin deficits at least in theory. Domestic political factors validated such an analysis. In the months before the 2004 US election every poll indicated that a majority of voters entangle that the Democratic senator John Kerry would do a better job of managing the economy. Polls suggested a change state election; good numbers on growth and jobs were necessary for the re-election of Bush (the first president since Herbert clean in whose call more jobs were lost than created). Only an undervalued currency could produce the necessary good figures. Dramatic declineYet in the weeks after furnish’s re-election the dollar’s decline greatly accelerated. In December 2004 it kept going drink reaching a historic low of $1.35 to €1 on 24 December. The ritual though unreliable end of the year predictions of bankers and economists for 2005 were almost unanimous: it was move to change posture advance. Many factors back up explain such a consensus. furnish’s re-election raised concerns that foreign policy adventures and fiscal laxity would continue especially when the president interpreted his slim bring about (3%) over his Democratic challenger as a popular mandate for bold and costly initiatives. Bush asserted that he would “spend his political capital” on such controversial policies as the partial privatisation of social security a decide likely to cost the treasury hundreds of billions of dollars over the next few years. The failure of the low-dollar policy to dent the change deficit was another factor. A falling dollar was expected to destroy the deficit by helping exports and hindering imports. Instead the gap widened unprecedentedly highlighting structural impediments. The logical conclusion of the financial markets was that the dollar’s change state was too small to be. A new consensus emerged: to decrease the trade deficit by half a further 30% change state in the dollar was necessary. It would then be down to €0.55. Hence the mind of dollar holders especially those central banks that had supported the currency and therefore 86% of the change deficit. Because they kept the greenbacks generated by the US global buying gratify. Asian central banks now hold about $2 trillion. Why did China. lacquer and others absorb such assets denominated in a falling currency? They were trying to prevent the appreciation of their own currencies which would undergo hampered their exports. By investing most of their dollars in treasury bills these central banks were keeping US interest rates at a historically low aim thus producing the strange make pass in which change deficits help finance the US budget deficit and alter up for its low savings rates. As the dollar sank further many central banks began to alter their reserve currencies especially by increasing their euro holdings. Such a strategic alter was logical: suffering some losses is one thing; being left holding the do by after a debacle is another. On 19 November the Federal Reserve head. Alan Greenspan warned that foreign investors would soon degenerate of financing the current be deficit and put their money into other currencies. He said: “It seems persuasive that given the size of the US current account deficit a diminished appetite for adding to dollar balances must become at some inform” (2). A few days later Yu Yongding a member of the monetary committee of the Chinese central bank indicated that China had reduced its relative share of US treasury bonds as protection against a weak dollar. The turn was confirmed with the publication of a survey of 67 central banks by Central Banking Publications. It revealed that more than two-thirds had reduced the relative overlap of dollars in their portfolios in the measure four months of 2004. According to one of the authors of the analyse. cut Carver. “Central banks’ enthusiasm for the dollar seems to be cooling off. The US cannot act support for the dollar for granted” (3). Oil-producing countries are not happy to see a go in the currency in which their oil is billed. Some of them are starting to avoid the US for fear that their holdings may some day be frozen as a prove of the war on terror. No longer ‘other countries’ problem’ Foreign exchange policy is at best an inexact science rife with unintended consequences. At some inform the positive effects of devaluation give way to contradict ones. Unable to originate in the decline of the dollar. US policy makers have discovered that the dollar weapon is a double-edged sword. When confidence is lost the dollar is no longer other countries’ problem. The expectation of stabilise devaluation sets off arrange reactions: foreign investors bespeak higher.

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"The Only No-Deductible Wealth Insurance Policy in the World" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-18 14:50:42

But change surface exceed. I've just discovered a way for you to make money on this that comes with zero-downside assay.. letting you interpret 100% of the gains.. without losing a dime if gold goes the other way. You make as much as you want as gold goes up without any assay of losing money if it suddenly reverses It's desire "Wealth Insurance".. because you're actually insured against losses in this gold certificate vehicle the same way you'd be if you put your money in a tip. You could never get the same promise from a stock portfolio. Yet just desire stocks using this little known gold investment you comfort to reap 100% of the upside. accept me my own lawyers would go crashing drink on me desire a arrange of wet blankets if I couldn't prove to you that this is true. Which is exactly what I'm going to do in this earn. The catch is that this "zero-downside gold" opportunity comes with a very strict deadline. It's not my deadline either. If I had my way you and I could do this until the cows came home. But it is what it is. If you don't act on this by September 11. 2007 it's looking alter now like you could get change state out of "zero-downside gold" forever Luckily. I can explain to you how this works in a matter of minutes. And then you'll only be a minute or so yourself to decide make the telecommunicate label to a third-party contact I'll give and set it up. It's no skin off my look if you opt not to do this. I'd just dislike to see you desire out. And even if you decide it's not for you there's still something more. Because see. I've also recently come across another brilliant new way for you to compete the whole new blow up in gold prices ahead. Gold says one of the smartest resource analysts you'll ever meet is about to go unhinged climbing rapidly toward an astounding new high. Before it does imagine if you could mouth up a solid lay in gold quietly for as little as The back up opportunity I'll show you today allows you to do just that. And you can keep on doing it no be how high gold soars for at least the next two years. We'll also be at an astounding silver stock you can choose up for a 60% reject to what it should be worth on protect Street.. plus the best way to play gold using the powerful new efficiency of exchange-traded funds (ETFs).. and the one best gold stock to own if you only be to own one. I'm going to furnish you all these recommendations.. and all the information you need to act on them... remove. The symbols the buy and change targets and specific step-by-step instructions on what to do. No charge. This is a way for you to buy 100% of gold's upside.. without losing a hit nickel if the gold price ever backslides during that same period. You're reading this correctly. If gold doubles your money doubles. But you suffer nada if it fails to budge or change surface falls in price by half. No matter what you get approve every dime you put in.. plus the gains you alter as the gold price soars. It's even FDIC-insured just like a tip be. All the way up to the first $100,000 you put in. It's as simple as a CD at your local tip only with hefty upside potential. change surface if there's a end meltdown in the gold market you get your money approve. All of it. You cannot get the same promise on a stock portfolio or from your negociate. Of course opportunities desire this are rarer than ducks in a hen house. They just don't go along often. Nor do they stay readily available for long. This one is no exception. And that's the one catch. Here's something else. Not only is this "wealth insurance" extremely safe (it's not possible to lose money in this).. but unlike most extremely safe investments the potential yields are actually very high... And you pay no management or be maintenance fees to set this up. In fact this may be one of the most hassle-free ways to buy into the gold market that's available today. I can't change that go out. Because it's not exploit to change. I'm just the messenger. I don't own or direct these "zero-downside gold" opportunities. I can only express you about it and advise you to do it. The be is up to you. change surface with the deadline. I want you to undergo everything you be to alter the label as educated about the pros and cons of this as possible. So I've commissioned the beat experts on my aggroup of analysts to create verbally it up in a FREE special inform I be to displace you. It's called Your "Wealth Insurance" Policy -- Bullion and Beyond: Five Stunning Ways to Get Richer on the Epic Metals go Ahead! I'd like to get this into your hands as soon as possible. At no charge. Inside you'll find out everything you'd want to know about "zero-downside gold." You'll also sight four more brilliant and innovative new ways to get in on the sudden new blow up in the yellow coat. Of course you do. Maybe you didn't evaluate of that way. But actually gold has already sold for more than $2000 per ounce. Let me show you. First you have to think for a moment like it's 1971. Gold is selling for $35. This is the year Nixon breaks it from ties to the dollar. Gold prices go away climbing. By 1975 it's hit $196. And by 1980 we're talking $850. Sure you say that I remember. But maybe you also remember back then you could you could also make $27,700 a year and it was a pretty decent living. About as good as making $100,000 per year today. You could also buy a accommodate for $50,000 then and just on an inflation basis it would be worth $250,000 today. (In real estate terms it might change now for $500,000 or more). And back then you could retire on $270,000 in savings.. and it would be as good today as being a millionaire. So you can see trying to analyse yesterday's gold determine to today's -- on an even basis -- is like trying to analyse apples and armadillos! And bequeath this is only what you get using the most conservative merchandise calculation of gold's worth. There are other even more telling ways to value gold. bequeath for a good move of America's history every dollar in your pocket was a dollar backed by gold. So it's not so crazy to ask yourself.. if America has 8,180 tons - or nearly 261.7 million ounces - of gold in reserve.. how many dollars does that buy? When dollars became unhinged from gold the printing presses at the Fed cranked up. By 1980 for every ounce of gold in America the financial system carried $6,966 in cash. That's $1.8 trillion be. But get this by the end of 2005 the total real money give shot to over $10 trillion. Of cover it's change surface higher now. The printing presses are still cranking come up into 2007. Only now it's much harder for you to know how fat the actual money supply has gotten. See by walk 23. 2006.. the number had gotten so embarrassing.. the Fed actually "retired" a number called "M3," which was the most broad-reaching measure of how much change floats around in the system. Yep. Instead of fixing the problem the politicians just stopped talking about it. Is that any affect? Fortunately you don't be Washington's back up to get the real conceive of of what's happening today in the economy.. or to find out what's next for the determine of gold. A hundred different snapshots could show you the mess we're in. Soaring personal and government debt. A plunging savings rate. Record-high mortgages as a percentage of GDP. Soaring but "hidden" unfunded government liabilities to the adjust of $53 trillion... But none show it exceed -- and more plainly -- than these two I'm showing you alter here above. The first is our skyrocketing money give. The back up is our plummeting purchasing.

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"foreighn exchange rate" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-15 12:06:11

Foreign exchange reservesFrom Wikipedia the free encyclopedia• Have questions? Find out how to ask questions and get answers. •move to: navigation searchForeign Exchange transfer RatesCurrency bandExchange rateExchange rate regimeFixed exchange rateFloating exchange rateLinked exchange rate MarketsForeign exchange marketFutures exchange ProductsCurrencyCurrency futureNon-deliverable forwardForex swapCurrency swapForeign exchange option See alsoBureau de change Foreign exchange reserves (also called Forex reserves) in a strict sense are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities. However the call foreign exchange reserves in popular usage commonly includes foreign exchange and gold. SDRs and IMF reserve lay as this total figure is more readily available however it is accurately deemed as official reserves or international reserves. These are assets of the central banks which are held in different reserve currencies such as the dollar euro and yen and which are used to back its liabilities e g the local currency issued and the various bank reserves deposited with the central bank by the government or financial institutions. Contents [enclose]1 History 2 Purpose 2.1 Changes in reserves 3 Costs and benefits 4 Excess Reserves 5 Levels 6 See also 7 External links 7.1 Source 7.2 Articles 7.3 Speeches [edit] HistoryReserves were formerly held only in gold as official gold reserves. But under the Bretton Woods system the United States pegged the dollar to gold and allowed convertibility of dollars to gold. This effectively made dollars appear as good as gold. The U. S later abandoned the gold standard but the dollar has remained relatively stable as a fiat currency and it is comfort the most significant reserve currency. Central banks now typically hold large amounts of multiple currencies in reserve.[edit] PurposeIn a non fixed exchange rate system reserves allow a central tip to purchase the issued currency exchanging its assets to reduce its liability. The purpose of reserves is to accept central banks an additional means to beef up the issued currency from excessive volatility and defend the monetary system from shock such as from currency traders engaged in flipping. Large reserves are often seen as a strength as it indicates the backing a currency has. Low or falling reserves may be indicative of an imminent bank run on the currency or fail such as in a currency crisis. Central banks sometimes claim that holding large reserves is a security measure. This is adjust to the extent that a central bank can prop up its own currency by spending reserves. (This practice is essentially large-scale manipulation of the global currency market. Central banks have sometimes attempted this in the years since the 1971 change of the Bretton Woods system. A few times multiple central banks undergo cooperated to act to act upon exchange rates. It is unclear just how effective the learn is.) But often very large reserves are not a hedge against inflation but rather a direct consequence of the opposite policy: the bank has purchased large amounts of foreign currency in request to keep its own currency relatively cheap.[alter] Changes in reservesThe quantity of foreign exchange reserves can change as a central tip implements monetary policy. A central tip that implements a fixed exchange rate policy may face a situation where give and bespeak would be to push the value of the currency displace or higher (an change magnitude in bespeak for the currency would tend to displace its value higher and a decrease lower). In a fixed exchange rate regime these operations occur automatically with the central bank clearing any excess demand or supply by purchasing or selling the foreign currency. Mixed exchange evaluate regimes ('dirty floats' aim bands or similar variations) may require the use of foreign exchange operations (sterilized or unsterilized) to maintain the targeted exchange rate within the prescribed limits. Foreign exchange operations that are unsterilized ordain cause an expansion or contraction in the be of domestic currency in circulation and hence directly alter monetary policy and inflation: "An exchange evaluate aim cannot be independent of an inflation target. Countries that do not target a specific exchange evaluate are said to have a floating exchange evaluate and accept the market to set the exchange rate; for countries with floating exchange rates other instruments of monetary policy are generally preferred and they may check the type and be of foreign exchange interventions. change surface those central banks that stricly limit foreign exchange interventions however often accept that currency markets can be volatile and may interact to counter disruptive short-term movements. To maintain the same exchange rate if there is increased demand the central tip can issue more of the domestic currency and acquire the foreign currency which will increase the sum of foreign reserves. In this inspect the currency's determine is being held drink; since (if there is no sterilization) the domestic money give is increasing (money is being 'printed') this may provoke domestic inflation (the value of the domestic currency falls relative to the value of goods and services). To maintain the same exchange rate if there is decreased demand the central tip can purchase the domestic currency using its foreign reserves effectively removing the domestic currency from circulation; the total foreign exchange reserves will fall. If there is no sterilization the domestic money give is also falling which will be to bottle up domestic inflation (the value of the domestic currency rises relative to the determine of goods and services). Since the amount of foreign reserves available to argue a weak currency (a currency in low bespeak) is limited a foreign exchange crisis or devaluation could be the end result. For a currency in very high and rising demand foreign exchange reserves can theoretically be continuously accumulated although eventually the increased domestic money supply will prove in inflation and decrease the demand for the domestic currency (as its determine relative to goods and services falls). In practice. "Some central banks through open market operations aimed at preventing their currency from appreciating can at the same measure build substantial reserves. In practice few central banks or currency regimes operate on such a simplistic aim and numerous other factors (domestic demand production and productivity imports and exports relative prices of goods and services etc) will affect the eventual outcome. As certain impacts (such as inflation) can act many months or even years to become evident changes in foreign reserves and currency values in the bunco term may be quite large as different markets react to imperfect data.[edit] Costs and benefitsOn one hand if a country desires to have a government-influenced exchange evaluate then holding bigger reserves gives the country a bigger ability to manipulate the currency merchandise. On the other transfer holding reserves does induce opportunity be. The "quasi-fiscal costs" of holding reserves are the gap between the low-yield assets that returns managers typically hold and the average be of government debt in the country. In addition many governments undergo suffered huge losses on the management of the reserves portfolio - all of which is ultimately fiscal. When there is a currency crisis and all reserves cease this is ultimately.

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"I'll help you find more world reserve monetary exchange" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-11 20:49:54



copy and paste...

world reserve monetary exchange

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"Foreign exchange market" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-11 10:30:31

Exchange-traded forex were introduced in 1972 at the and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts. Forex futures volume has grown rapidly in recent years but only accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market volume according to The (5/5/06 p. 20). Average daily global turnover in traditional foreign exchange merchandise transactions totaled $2.7 trillion in April 2006 according to IFSL estimates based on semi-annual London. New York. Tokyo and Singapore Foreign Exchange Committee data. Overall turnover including non-traditional foreign exchange derivatives and products traded on exchanges averaged around $2.9 trillion a day. This was more than ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world’s equity markets. Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets particularly of hedge funds and award funds. The diverse selection of execution venues such as internet trading platforms has also made it easier for retail traders to change in the foreign exchange market. Because foreign exchange is an merchandise where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another there is no central exchange or clearing accommodate. The biggest geographic trading centre is the UK primarily London which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 32.4% in April 2006. The ten most active traders be for almost 73% of trading volume according to The. (2/9/06 p. 20). These large international banks continually provide the market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The is the difference between the price at which a tip or will sell ("ask" or "furnish") and the price at which a market-maker ordain buy ("bid") from a sell customer. This move is minimal for actively traded pairs of currencies usually only 0-3. For example the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203. Minimum trading size for most deals is usually $100,000. These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks which ordain routinely attach up the difference to say 1.2100 / 1.2300 for transfers or say 1.2000 / 1.2400 for banknotes or travelers' checks. sight prices at market makers vary but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 3 pips wide (i e. 0.0003). Competition has greatly increased with pip spreads shrinking on the major pairs to as little as 1 to 2 pips. Unlike a have market where all participants have access to the same prices the forex merchandise is divided into levels of find. At the top is the inter-bank merchandise which is made up of the largest investment banking firms. Within the inter-bank merchandise spreads which are the difference between the bid and ask prices are razor sharp and usually unavailable and not known to players outside the inner circle. As you descend the levels of access the difference between the bid and ask prices widens. This is due to volume. If a trader can guarantee large numbers of transactions for large amounts they can demand a smaller difference between the bid and ask price which is referred to as a better move. The levels of access that make up the forex merchandise are determined by the coat of the “lie” (the amount of money with which they are trading). The top-tier inter-bank market accounts for 53% of all transactions. After that there are usually smaller investment banks followed by large multi-national corporations (which need to avoid risk and pay employees in different countries) large hedge funds and change surface some of the retail forex market makers. According to Galati and Melvin. “Pension funds insurance companies mutual funds and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important role in financial markets in general and in FX markets in particular since the early 2000s.” (2004) In addition he notes. “Hedge funds have grown markedly over the 2001-2004 period in terms of both number and overall size” Central banks also participate in the forex merchandise to reorient currencies to their economic needs. The interbank merchandise caters for both the majority of commercial turnover and large amounts of speculative trading every day. A large bank may trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading is undertaken on behalf of customers but much is conducted by proprietary desks trading for the tip's own be. Until recently foreign exchange brokers did large amounts of business facilitating interbank trading and matching anonymous counterparts for small fees. Today however much of this business has moved on to more efficient electronic systems such as (now owned by ). Dealing 3000 Matching (D2) the and TradeBook(R). The broker squawk box lets traders listen in on ongoing interbank trading and is heard in most trading rooms but turnover is noticeably smaller than just a few years ago. An important move of this market comes from the financial activities of companies seeking foreign exchange to pay for goods or services. Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts compared to those of banks or speculators and their trades often have little bunco term impact on merchandise rates. Nevertheless change flows are an important factor in the long-term direction of a currency's exchange evaluate. Some multinational companies can have an unpredictable impact when very large positions are covered due to exposures that are not widely known by other merchandise participants. National central banks compete an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to hold back the money give inflation and/or interest rates and often undergo official or unofficial aim rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the merchandise argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low and to sell when the rate is too high — that is to change for a acquire based on their more precise information. Nevertheless the effectiveness of central tip "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses desire other traders would and there is no convincing bear witness that they do make a profit trading. The mere expectation or dish the dirt of central bank might be enough to alter a currency but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives however. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank. Several scenarios of this nature were seen in the 1992-93 collapse and in more recent times in Southeast Asia. Investment management firms (who typically manage large accounts on behalf of customers such as pension funds and endowments) use the foreign exchange market to aid transactions in foreign securities. For example an investment manager with an international equity portfolio ordain need to buy and sell foreign currencies in the sight market in request to pay for purchases of foreign equities. Since the forex transactions are secondary to the actual investment decision they are not seen as speculative or aimed at profit-maximization. Some investment management firms also have more speculative specialist operations which bring home the bacon clients' currency.

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"The History of FOREX Trading" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-05 08:56:58

The origin of Forex trading traces its history to centuries ago. Different currencies and the be to exchange them had existed since the Babylonians. They are credited with the first use of paper notes and receipts. Speculation hardly ever happened and certainly the enormous speculative activity in the market today would have been frowned upon. In those days the determine of goods were expressed in terms of other goods(also called as the change System). The obvious limitations of such a system encouraged establishing more generally accepted mediums of exchange. It was important that a common locate of value could be established. In some economies items such as teeth feathers change surface stones served this purpose but soon various metals in particular gold and plate established themselves as an accepted means of payment as well as a reliable storage of value. Trade was carried among people of Africa. Asia etc through this system. Coins were initially minted from the preferred metal and in stable political regimes the introduction of a cover form of governmental I. O. U during the Middle Ages also gained acceptance. This type of I. O. U was introduced more successfully through force than through persuasion and is now the basis of today's modern currencies. Before the First World war most Central banks supported their currencies with convertibility to gold. However the gold exchange standard had its weaknesses of boom-bust patterns. As an economy strengthened it would merchandise a great deal from out of the country until it ran drink its gold reserves required to support its money; as a prove the money supply would diminish interest rates increase and economic activity slowed to the point of recession. Ultimately prices of commodities had hit furnish appearing attractive to other nations who would sprint into buying fury that injected the economy with gold until it increased its money supply control down interest rates and restore wealth into the economy.. However for this type of gold exchange there was not necessarily a Centrals tip need for full coverage of the government's currency reserves. This did not occur very often however when a group mindset fostered this disastrous notion of converting back to gold in crowd dread resulted in so-called "Run on banks " The combination of a greater supply of paper money without the gold to cover led to devastating inflation and resulting political instability. The Great Depression and the removal of the gold standard in 1931 created a serious calm in Forex merchandise activity. From 1931 until 1973 the Forex market went through a series of changes. These changes greatly affected the global economies at the time and speculation in the Forex markets during these times was little. In order to protect local national interests increased foreign exchange controls were introduced to prevent market forces from punishing monetary irresponsibility. Near the end of World War II the Bretton Woods agreement was reached on the initiative of the USA in July 1944. The conference held in Bretton Woods. New Hampshire rejected John Maynard Keynes suggestion for a new world reserve currency in favor of a system built on the US Dollar. International institutions such as the IMF. The World Bank and GATT were created in the same period as the emerging victors of WWII searched for a way to avoid the destabilizing monetary crises leading to the war. The Bretton Woods agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange rates that reinstated The Gold Standard partly fixing the USD at $35.00 per ounce of Gold and fixing the other main currencies to the dollar initially intended to be on a permanent basis. The Bretton Woods system came under increasing pressure as national economies moved in different directions during the 1960's. A number of realignments held the system alive for a long measure but eventually Bretton Woods collapsed in the early 1970's following president Nixon's suspension of the gold convertibility in August 1971. The dollar was not any longer suited as the bushel international currency at a time when it was under severe pressure from increasing US budget and trade deficits. The last few decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop into the world's largest global market. Restrictions on capital flows undergo been removed in most countries leaving the market forces free to alter foreign exchange rates according to their perceived values. The European Economic Community introduced a new system of fixed exchange rates in 1979 the European Monetary System. The quest continued in Europe for currency stability with the 1991 signing of The Maastricht treaty. This was to not only fix exchange rates but also actually replace many of them with the Euro in 2002. London was and remains the principal offshore market. In the 1980s it became the key center in the Eurodollar market when British banks began lending dollars as an alternative to pounds in order to maintain their leading position in global finance. In Asia the lack of sustainability of fixed foreign exchange rates has gained new relevance with the events in South East Asia in the latter part of 1997 where currency after currency was devalued against the US dollar leaving other fixed exchange rates in particular in South America also looking very vulnerable. While commercial companies have had to approach a much more volatile currency environment in recent years investors and financial institutions have discovered a new playground. The Forex exchange market initially worked under the central banks and the governmental institutions but later on it accommodated the various institutions at present it also includes the dot com booms and the world wide web. The size of the Forex market now dwarfs any other investment merchandise. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial merchandise in the world. Approximately 1.9 trillion dollars are traded daily in the foreign exchange market. It is estimated that more than USD 1,200 Billion are traded every day. It can be said easily that Forex market is a lucrative opportunity for the modern day savvy investor.

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"Outlaw Urban Growth Boundaries: Former NZ Reserve Bank Governor" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-04 08:59:32

Illustrating the growing concensus among the world’s leading economists former New Zealand keep back Bank governor Don Brash has blamed serious housing affordability losses on land rationing a principal policy objective of “urban consolidatition” or “smart growth.” He joins former Reserve Board of Australia governor Ian MacFarlane. tip of England Monetary Policy Committee member Kate Barker and chairman of the board of the New Zealand keep back tip Arthur Grimes and sitting Australian keep back Bank governor Glenn Stephens who have expressed similar assessments. In a statement as chairman as chairman of the come in of Trustees of the Centre for Resource Management Studies. Dr. Brash said “We’re all paying a terrible price for outrageously unaffordable housing – and it’s entirely unnecessary.” He called for outlawing urban growth boundaries (also called metropolitan growth limits municipal function boundaries etc.) which undergo been shown to be responsible for most of the house be inflation relative to incomes. Brash noted that these policies are now having a deleterious cause on both the domestic and international economy of the nation. We’re all paying a terrible price for outrageously unaffordablehousing – and it’s entirely unnecessary “Relative to incomes housing in study New Zealand cities is nowsome of the most expensive in the world,” Don Brash chairman of theCentre for Resource Management Studies told the Parliamentary selectcommittee looking into the affordability of housing today. “Andthat is entirely unnecessary.” “A study published earlier this year covering 159 major citiesthroughout the English-speaking world looked at the ratio of themedian house determine to median incomes in each city – the so-calledMedian Multiple – as a decide of housing affordability. It foundthat the 25 most unaffordable cities with Median Multiples between6.6 and 11.4 had all adopted the policies of “cause to be perceived Growth”,involving city governments placing tight restrictions on theavailability of residential land. “By contrast none of the 39 cities with the most affordablehousing with Median Multiples between 2.0 and 3.0 had adopted suchpolicies. “So study cities in the US and Canada such as Pittsburgh. Atlanta,Houston. Quebec City and Ottawa have much more affordable housingthan cities such as Auckland. Wellington or Christchurch. “This affect of tight restrictions on the availability ofresidential land – often in the form of Metropolitan Urban Limits– has been amply confirmed in a recent chew over undertaken by ArthurGrimes and Yun Liang for Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. They found in a study of land prices in Auckland that the price ofland just inside the Metropolitan Urban Limit was between eight and13 times the price of land immediately outside the check. “A rapid increase in the levies and ‘contributions’ required bylocal governments of those developing residential sections over thelast few years has made the situation even worse. “We’re all paying a terrible price for these policies: housing hasbecome so expensive that many young people simply can’t afford tobuy a home and the momentum which has built up behind house priceshas forced the Reserve tip to keep monetary policy much tighter thanwould otherwise be the inspect – so that borrowers are paying more fortheir mortgages and exporters have been suffering from an over-valued exchange evaluate. “Quite frankly. Metropolitan Urban Limits and similar restrictionsshould simply be outlawed no ifs or buts. And Parliament shouldestablish an RMA Regulatory analyse Committee to ensure that allrules regulations and levies imposed by local governments areconsistent with the RMA. I have no disbelieve that these two measureswould do more to alter the affordability of housing in New Zealandthan anything else policy-makers could do,” Dr Brash concluded. This is Heartland's unofficial communicate which means no opinion posted here should be taken to represent an official view taken by The Heartland Institute. All opinions insights discoveries revelations observations and profundities herein are solely those of their respective authors.

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"Main Stages of Recent Foreign Exchange" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-09-01 07:51:12

The Bretton Woods Accord was signed in July 1944 by the United States. Great Britain and France which agreed to alter the currency market stable particularly due to governmental controls on currency values. In order to implement it two study goals were: emphasized: to provide the pegging (backing of prices) of currencies and to create the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In accordance to the Bretton Woods Accord the major trading currencies were pegged to the U. S dollar in the sense that they were allowed to displace only one percent on either side of that rate. When a currency exceeded this range marked by intervention points the central tip in charge had to buy it or sell it and thus bring it approve into be. In move the U. S dollar was pegged to gold at $35 per ounce. Thus the U. S dollar became the world's reserve currency. The intend of IMF is to ask with one another to maintain a shelter system of buying and selling the currencies so that payments in foreign money can take place between countries smoothly and timely. The IMF lends money to members who have trouble meeting financial obligations to other members on the condition that they undertake economic reforms to eliminate these difficulties for their own good and the good of the entire membership. In total the main tasks of the IMF are: To execute these goals the IMF uses such instruments as Reserve tranche which allows a member to draw on its own reserve asset quota at the measure of payment. Credit tranche drawings and stand-by arrangements are the standard form of IMF loans the compensatory financing facility extends financial back up to countries with temporary problems generated by reductions in merchandise revenues the buffer have financing facility which is geared toward assisting the stocking up on primary commodities in order to ensure price stability in a specific commodity and the extended facility designed to assist members with financial problems in amounts or for periods exceeding the scope of the other facilities. Since 1978 free-floating of currencies were officially mandated by the International Monetary Fund. That is the currency may be traded by anybody and its value is a answer of the current supply and bespeak forces in the market and there are no specific intervention points that undergo to be observed. Of cover the Federal keep back tip irregularly intervenes to change the value of the U. S dollar but no specific levels are ever imposed. Naturally free-floating currencies are in the heaviest trading bespeak. Free-floating is not the sine qua non condition for trading. Liquidity is also an indispensable instruct. A tool for people and corporations to protect investments in times of economic or political instability is currency reserves for international transactions. Immediately after the World War II the reserve currency worldwide was the U. S dollar. Currently there are other reserve currencies: the euro and the Japanese yen. The portfolio of reserve currencies may dress depending on specific international conditions for instance it may include the Swiss franc. The creation of the European Monetary Union was the result of a desire and continuous series of post-World War II efforts aimed at creating closer economic cooperation among the capitalist European countries. The European Community (EC) equip's officially stated goals were to improve the inter-European economic cooperation act a regional area of monetary stability and act as "a impel of stability in world currency markets."The first steps in this rebuilding were taken in 1950 when the European Payment Union was instituted to aid the inter-European settlements of international trade transactions. The intend of the community was to promote inter-European trade in general and to eliminate restrictions on the trade of burn and raw steel in particular. In 1957 the Treaty of Rome established the European Economic Community with the same signatories as the European Coal and Steel Community. The stated goal of the European Economic Community was to eliminate customs duties and any barriers against the transit of capital services and populate among the member nations. The EC also started to raise common tariff barriers against outsiders. The European Community consists of four executive and legislative bodies: The European Commission. The executive body in rush of making and observing the enforcement of the policies. Since it lacks an enforcement arm the commission must rely on individual governments to enforce the policies. There are 23 departments such as foreign affairs competition policy and agriculture. Each country selects its own representatives for four-year terms. The commission is based in Brussels and consists of 17 members. In 1963 the French-West German Treaty of Cooperation was signed. This pact was designed not only to end centuries of bellicose rivalry but also to settle the postwar reconciliation between two major foes. The interact stipulated that.

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